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Home arrow More News arrow Latest arrow California's too big for 'up close and personal'
California's too big for 'up close and personal' Print E-mail

By Pat Keeble
Contra Costa Insider

 

The presidential primary campaigns are finally in California (and a few other states at the same time) but most of us won't get to see the candidates up close and personal as did the Iowans and New Hampshirites.

A friend in Iowa told me she got to see every candidate there and talk to several of them. She ended up being assigned precinct captain for Chris Dodd at her caucus. There was  only one other Dodd supporter at the event, foretelling perhaps Dodd's quick exit from the hustings the next day.

One issue has been largely absent from the campaigns until now and that's the war in Iraq. When you're talking to a potential voter practically (or actually) face to face, they seem to be more interested in Social Security, health care and lost jobs than in international affairs.

That's beginning to change and will, I feel, become the predominant issue as soon as the nominees become evident. It will be made so by the Republicans. Their theme will be that they are best suited to fight terrorism -- especially if the Dems nominate a woman.

Expect blood to flow. 

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As we mentioned earlier, the poor incumbents in legislative seats won't know until Feb. 6, and maybe not for weeks after that, what seats to run for in the June 3 primary election. Only one of the six representing portions of Contra Costa -- Assemblyman Mark DeSaulnier, D-Concord, -- is not being termed out this year, but he, along with the rest, is caught in the squeeze created by Prop. 93 on the February ballot.

Prop. 93 would extend term limits by two years and give terming-out incumbents the right to run for re-election, and almost certain victory, in their present seats.  There's little doubt that they would all do just that.

But if it doesn't pass, DeSaulnier will pass up certain re-election to the final two years he is currently allotted in the Assembly and go for the State Senate seat held by terming-out Tom Torlakson, D-Antioch, who would turn around and run for DeSaulnier's Assembly seat since he qualifies for two more years there.

In other districts, which share territory with other counties, the termed out Assembly members are weighing whether to try to step up the Senate.

Assemblyman Guy Houston, R-San Ramon, has a slightly different problem. He's beng termed out of his Assembly seat. Alameda County portions of the nearest Senate District include most of the voters, giving anyone from the eastern portions little chance of winning. He eyed the state Board of Equalization seat being vacated by term limits but the Republican Party has already selected former legislator Dean Andal of Stockton as its candidate.

That means he'll be out of politics or he can step down, and he's chosen to do the latter, running against fellow Republican Mary Nejedly Piepho for the non-partisan 3rd Supervisorial District seat. If Prop. 93 passes, he would undoubtedly seek re-election to the Assembly instead.

Meanwhile, assuming his 15th District Assembly seat will be vacant, 11 candidates have taken one or more official steps towards the June ballot, including three Republicans nine Democrats and one Libertarian.

The standout is former San Ramon Mayor H. Abram Wilson, a banker highly regarded in the community. It's probable that a number of candidates will drop out before the filing deadline. If Prop. 93 passes, giving Houston another chance, most of them would drop out.

Prop. 93, by the way, is trailing badly in the polls.

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PRIMARY ELECTION FILINGS AS OF JAN. 18, 2008

The following have taken an official action to become candidates in June, filing declarations of intent to run with the Secretary of State and/or taking out petitions for signatures in lieu of filing fees. Some incumbents (shown here in parentheses) have not taken an action but are expected to do so before the filing deadline of March 7. Others, as noted, are incumbent legislators who are terming out under the current law but will be able to run again for their current seats if Prop. 93, extending term limits, passes on Feb. 5.  Most of them have signed to run in their current seats and a second seat if they are termed out of the first. They will have until March 7 to file final nomination papers, choosing which seat in which to run.

Congressional District 7
    (Inc. George Miller, D-Martinez)
    Virginia Fuller-Kendall, Pinole, Republican
    William Callison, Concord, Peace & Freedom Party

Congressional District 10
    (Inc. Ellen Tauscher, D-Alamo)
    David Peterson, Walnut Creek, Republican
    Eugene Ruyle, Oakland, Peace and Freedom Party

Congressional District 11
(Inc. Jerry McNerney, D-Livermore)

St. Senate District 7
    (Inc. Tom Torlakson, D-Antioch -- terming out -- will run for re-election if
                    Prop. 93 passes, for Assembly if it doesn't pass.)
    Joe Canciamilla, D-Pittsburg
    Mark DeSaulnier, D-Concord (see Assembly District 11)

St. Senate District 9
    (Inc. Don Perata, D-Oakland  (terming out if Prop. 93 loses.)
    Loni Hancock, D-Berkeley (terming out if Prop. 93 loses.)
    Johan Klehs, D-Alameda Co. (former Assemblyman)

Assembly District 11
    Inc. Mark DeSaulnier, D-Concord (will run for Senate if Prop. 93 loses,
                              for re-election if it passes.)
    Tom Torlakson, D-Antioch (see Senate District 7)

Assembly District 14
(Inc. Loni Hancock, D-Berkeley (terming out; see Senate District 14)
    Lesa McIntosh, D-Richmond
    Phillip Polokoff, Dem
x    Kriss Worthington, Dem

Assembly District 15
    (Inc. Guy Houston, R-San Ramon, terming out; see Sup. 3 District)
    Robert Rao, Rep    
    Joseph Rubay, Rep
    H. Abram Wilson, San Ramon, Rep
    Joan Buchanan, Alamo, Dem
    Theodore Ford, Walnut Creek, Dem
Coleman Terry, Dem
    Steve Filson, Danville, Dem
    Frederick Klaske, Dem
Davies    Ononiwu, Dem
John Taylor, Dem
    Steve Thomas, Dem
Chris Van Schaack, Dem
Robert Bates, Lib
    
County Supervisor District 2
    Inc. Gayle Uilkema, Lafayette

County Supervisor District 3
    Inc. Mary Piepho, Discovery Bay
    Assemblyman Guy Houston, San Ramon  (if Prop. 93 loses.)

County Supervisor District 5
    Inc. Federal Glover, Pittsburg

Note: all the Congressional and Legislative Districts except Senate District 7 and Assembly District 11 share territory with one or more adjacent counties. Other candidates may file in those counties and not be recorded here until the final list is developed. Other candidates have indicated their intention to run but have not taken an official action.
 
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